Trump got 44 percent of union households, compared to Romney's 37 percent. (AP Photo/John Minchillo)

Exit polls show Trump losing the sub-$50K demographic by 11 points in Ohio. Romney lost that group by 20 points. Trump lost the moderate vote by only 11 percent, while Romney lost it by 16 percent. Trump got 44 percent of union households, compared to Romney’s 37 percent.

You see these results geographically, too. Trump’s taking 68 percent in the blue-collar white coal county of Belmont, where Romney got 53 percent. In the white working-class suburban county of Geauga, Trump is pulling in the same percentage as Romney (about 60 percent), but with much higher turnout.

This all suggests that Michigan is within reach.

Timothy P. Carney, The Washington Examiner’s senior political columnist, can be contacted at tcarney@washingtonexaminer.com. His column appears Tuesday and Thursday nights on washingtonexaminer.com.

GOP projected to keep House, Republicans look to speaker race

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Republicans were on track to keep their House majority Tuesday, making their next mission the re-election of House Speaker Paul Ryan, R-Wis.

Projections as of 8:40 p.m. Tuesday said Republicans would keep their majority, although they were still expected to lose some seats.

No one expected Republicans to lose control of the House, but their diminished numbers means governing could be tougher given the ongoing split within the conference between anti-establishment and mainstream lawmakers.

A first test of that will be choosing a speaker. The slimmer majority could have the effect of making it easier for Ryan to hold onto the gavel, since the GOP can only afford so many defections before giving away the speaker’s slot to

11/08/16 8:44 PM

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