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With two of the most unlikeable candidates in American history, the presidential election has become an awkward and interesting popularity contest. But there’s reason for hope.

The next presidency will all be over in just one term. That’s because the current electoral calculus makes it exceedingly difficult to win again in 2020 for either of the current nominees against anyone else.

Trump won’t have a mandate if he moves into the White House, or his glitzy new hotel a few blocks down the street. He doesn’t even have the full backing of his own party. According to new Pew Research Polling Republicans oppose Clinton more than they support Trump.

Among voters who will likely go red this November, the poll reports that “51 percent say their choice is a vote against Clinton” while just “45 percent say it is for Trump.”

That’s the highest level of negative voting in more than a decade and it’s an obvious sign of a deeply fractured party.

If things don’t go exceedingly well during his first four years, Trump could face a coup inside the GOP. It’s not unprecedented among Republicans. Ronald Reagan challenged Gerald Ford in 1976 and Pat Buchanan did the same thing to George H.W. Bush in 1992.

An attack in the back wouldn’t even be the most serious threat. Even more disenfranchised, Republicans could simply feed Trump to Democrats in 2020 by refusing to show up. Either way, Trump is in and out in one term.

Things look better for Clinton but not much. If she moves back to Pennsylvania Avenue, the first female executive will face a similar challenge uniting her own party. While the majority of Democrats say they’re with her, a sizeable chunk report that they are simply against him.

According to the poll, 57 percent of her supporters say they’re happy to pull the lever for Clinton. But 41 percent will do so begrudgingly. Those numbers don’t bode well.

Obama to NC: 'The fate of the world is teetering on you'

Also from the Washington Examiner

President Obama told voters in North Carolina Wednesday that nothing less than the fate of the U.S. and the world rests on them, since that state could decide whether Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump becomes president.

“All the progress that we’ve made over the last eight years, all the progress we hope to make over the next eight years, all of that goes out the window if we don’t win this election,” Obama said.

“And we don’t win this election, potentially, if we don’t win North Carolina,” he said. “So, I hate to put a little pressure on you, but the fate of the republic rests on your shoulders.”

“The fate of the world is teetering, and you, North Carolina, are going to have to make sure that we push it in the right

11/02/16 4:05 PM

A 2020 primary challenger would be unlikely. Though old, the Clinton machine isn’t worn out. With the resources of the White House and after moving farther to the left, Clinton doesn’t seem vulnerable to a challenge from a Sen. Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren. Regardless, she will be in the fight of her life for re-election.

Winning another term seems impossible for Clinton because she’ll be forced to contend with a unified opposition party. Civil war aside, Republicans will close ranks in time to mount a powerful 2020 challenger.

The best prognosticator for a single term presidency is the whole of American history. Traditionally presidential power ping-pongs between Republicans and Democrats. It’s not common for a party to hold the White House for more than two terms.

None of this is to say that the future of politics won’t be painful. It will be. But there’s no need to cancel one’s citizenship. Perhaps a long Canadian vacation would be more appropriate.

Philip Wegmann is a commentary writer for the Washington Examiner.

Poll: Clinton tops Trump in three of four swing states

Also from the Washington Examiner

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump in Florida, North Carolina and Pennsylvania, three key swing states, but trails in Ohio with less than a week until Election Day.

According to the latest Quinnipiac University polls released Wednesday, Clinton holds slim to solid leads in the three states, all of which are crucial to Trump’s path to the necessary 270 electoral votes.

In Florida, Clinton holds a slight 1-point advantage over the GOP nominee, with 46 percent to Trump’s 45 percent. Libertarian Gary Johnson takes two percent. Clinton also leads by 3 points in North Carolina, holding 47 percent to Trump’s 44 percent. Johnson earns three percent support.

11/02/16 3:50 PM

DOJ official gave Clinton camp 'heads up' about email testimony

Top Story

Emails made public earlier by WikiLeaks indicated Peter Kadzik and John Podesta have a close relationship.

11/02/16 1:07 PM



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